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For release:
August 8, 2018
Higher home prices, rising interest rates depress California housing affordability
Housing affordability falls to 10-year lows, extending into traditionally more affordable regions
LOS ANGELES (Aug. 8) – Record home price increases and higher interest rates combined to constrain California housing affordability to the lowest levels in 10 years, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) said today.
The percentage of home buyers who could afford to purchase a median-priced, existing single-family home in California in second-quarter 2018 fell to 26 percent from 31 percent in the first quarter of 2018 and was down from 29 percent in the second quarter a year ago, according to C.A.R.’s Traditional Housing Affordability Index (HAI). This is the 21st consecutive quarter that the index has been below 40 percent. California’s housing affordability index hit a peak of 56 percent in the second quarter of 2012.
C.A.R.’s HAI measures the percentage of all households that can afford to purchase a median-priced, single-family home in California. C.A.R. also reports affordability indices for regions and select counties within the state. The index is considered the most fundamental measure of housing well-being for home buyers in the state.
A minimum annual income of $126,490 was needed to qualify for the purchase of a $596,730 statewide median-priced, existing single-family home in the second quarter of 2018. The monthly payment, including taxes and insurance on a 30-year, fixed-rate loan, would be $3,160, assuming a 20 percent down payment and an effective composite interest rate of 4.70 percent. The effective composite interest rate in first-quarter 2018 was 4.44 percent and 4.09 percent in the second quarter of 2017.
While low housing affordability may be typical in many Bay Area counties, more traditionally affordable areas were at 10-year lows in the second quarter. Those that reached the decade-low include Alameda, Merced, Orange, Riverside, Sacramento, San Bernardino, San Diego, San Mateo, Santa Clara, Santa Cruz, and Sonoma.
Housing affordability for condominiums and townhomes also fell in second-quarter 2018 compared to the previous quarter with 36 percent of California households earning the minimum income to qualify for the purchase of a $477,790 median-priced condominium/townhome, down from 39 percent in the first quarter. An annual income of $101,270 was required to make monthly payments of $2,530.
Key points from the second-quarter 2018 Housing Affordability report include:
Housing Affordability slides (click link to open)
Affordability peak versus current
Annual required income peak vs. current
Monthly PITI peak versus current
Affordability by region peak versus current
Housing affordability by county
See C.A.R.’s historical housing affordability data.
See first-time buyer housing affordability data.
Leading the way…® in California real estate for more than 110 years, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (www.car.org) is one of the largest state trade organizations in the United States with more than190,000 members dedicated to the advancement of professionalism in real estate. C.A.R. is headquartered in Los Angeles.
# # #
CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Traditional Housing Affordability Index
Second quarter 2018
STATE/REGION/COUNTY |
2nd Qtr. 2018 |
Median Home Price |
Monthly Payment Including Taxes & Insurance |
Minimum Qualifying Income |
Calif. Single-family Home |
26 |
$596,730 |
$3,160 |
$126,490 |
Calif. Condo/Townhome |
36 |
$477,790 |
$2,530 |
$101,270 |
Los Angeles Metro Area |
29 |
$530,000 |
$2,810 |
$112,340 |
Inland Empire |
41 |
$360,000 |
$1,910 |
$76,310 |
San Francisco Bay Area |
18 |
$1,035,000 |
$5,480 |
$219,380 |
United States |
53 |
$269,000 |
$1,430 |
$57,020 |
|
|
|
|
|
San Francisco Bay Area |
|
|
|
|
Alameda |
16 |
$1,000,000 |
$5,300 |
$211,960 |
Contra Costa |
29 |
$695,000 |
$3,680 |
$147,320 |
Marin |
18 |
$1,400,000 |
$7,420 |
$296,750 |
Napa |
25 |
$707,250 |
$3,750 |
$149,910 |
San Francisco |
14 |
$1,625,000 |
$8,610 |
$344,440 |
San Mateo |
14 |
$1,650,000 |
$8,740 |
$349,740 |
Santa Clara |
16 |
$1,405,000 |
$7,450 |
$297,810 |
Solano |
38 |
$450,000 |
$2,380 |
$95,380 |
Sonoma |
20 |
$695,000 |
$3,680 |
$147,320 |
Southern California |
|
|
|
|
Los Angeles |
26 |
$557,220 |
$2,950 |
$118,110 |
Orange |
20 |
$830,000 |
$4,400 |
$175,930 |
Riverside |
37 |
$405,000 |
$2,150 |
$85,850 |
San Bernardino |
49 |
$290,000 |
$1,540 |
$61,470 |
San Diego |
23 |
$645,000 |
$3,420 |
$136,720 |
Ventura |
28 |
$670,000 |
$3,550 |
$142,020 |
Central Coast |
|
|
|
|
Monterey |
19 |
$647,000 |
$3,430 |
$137,140 |
San Luis Obispo |
22 |
$618,500 |
$3,280 |
$131,100 |
Santa Barbara |
20 |
$695,000 |
$3,680 |
$147,320 |
Santa Cruz |
12 |
$905,000 |
$4,800 |
$191,830 |
Central Valley |
|
|
|
|
Fresno |
47 |
$268,390 |
$1,420 |
$56,890 |
Kern |
53 |
$244,000 |
$1,290 |
$51,720 |
Kings |
50 |
$235,000 |
$1,250 |
$49,810 |
Madera |
52 |
$238,000 |
$1,260 |
$50,450 |
Merced |
42 |
$265,000 |
$1,400 |
$56,170 |
Placer |
41 |
$495,900 |
$2,630 |
$105,110 |
Sacramento |
41 |
$374,000 |
$1,980 |
$79,270 |
San Benito |
30 |
$571,000 |
$3,030 |
$121,030 |
San Joaquin |
38 |
$373,380 |
$1,980 |
$79,140 |
Stanislaus |
45 |
$315,000 |
$1,670 |
$66,770 |
Tulare |
48 |
$233,000 |
$1,230 |
$49,390 |
Other Calif. Counties |
|
|
|
|
Amador |
44 |
$335,000 |
$1,780 |
$71,010 |
Butte |
38 |
$320,000 |
$1,700 |
$67,830 |
Calaveras |
43 |
$329,000 |
$1,740 |
$69,740 |
El Dorado |
38 |
$525,000 |
$2,780 |
$111,280 |
Humboldt |
33 |
$315,000 |
$1,670 |
$66,770 |
Lake County |
37 |
$283,000 |
$1,500 |
$59,990 |
Lassen |
64 |
$192,500 |
$1,020 |
$40,800 |
Mariposa |
39 |
$320,000 |
$1,700 |
$67,830 |
Mendocino |
22 |
$430,000 |
$2,280 |
$91,140 |
Mono |
14 |
$624,500 |
$3,310 |
$132,370 |
Nevada |
32 |
$435,000 |
$2,310 |
$92,200 |
Plumas |
42 |
$297,000 |
$1,570 |
$62,950 |
Shasta |
46 |
$265,500 |
$1,410 |
$56,280 |
Siskiyou |
48 |
$207,500 |
$1,100 |
$43,980 |
Sutter |
45 |
$299,950 |
$1,590 |
$63,580 |
Tehama |
51 |
$215,900 |
$1,140 |
$45,760 |
Tuolumne |
43 |
$308,500 |
$1,630 |
$65,390 |
Yolo |
33 |
$469,500 |
$2,490 |
$99,520 |
Yuba |
45 |
$290,000 |
$1,540 |
$61,470 |
CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Traditional Housing Affordability Index
Second quarter 2018
STATE/REGION/COUNTY |
2nd Qtr. 2018 |
1st Qtr. 2018 |
|
2nd Qtr. 2017 |
|
Calif. Single-family home |
26 |
31 |
|
29 |
|
Calif. Condo/Townhome |
36 |
39 |
|
38 |
|
Los Angeles Metro Area |
29 |
32 |
|
31 |
|
Inland Empire |
41 |
43 |
|
43 |
|
San Francisco Bay Area |
18 |
23 |
|
21 |
|
United States |
53 |
57 |
|
55 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
San Francisco Bay Area |
|
|
|
|
|
Alameda |
16 |
22 |
|
19 |
|
Contra Costa |
29 |
36 |
|
31 |
|
Marin |
18 |
18 |
|
17 |
|
Napa |
25 |
28 |
|
25 |
|
San Francisco |
14 |
15 |
|
12 |
|
San Mateo |
14 |
15 |
|
14 |
|
Santa Clara |
16 |
17 |
|
17 |
|
Solano |
38 |
42 |
|
44 |
|
Sonoma |
20 |
21 |
|
25 |
|
Southern California |
|
|
|
|
|
Los Angeles |
26 |
28 |
|
28 |
|
Orange |
20 |
21 |
|
21 |
|
Riverside |
37 |
39 |
|
39 |
|
San Bernardino |
49 |
52 |
|
51 |
|
San Diego |
23 |
26 |
|
26 |
|
Ventura |
28 |
31 |
|
27 |
|
Central Coast |
|
|
|
|
|
Monterey |
19 |
23 |
|
21 |
|
San Luis Obispo |
22 |
25 |
|
26 |
|
Santa Barbara |
20 |
22 |
|
16 |
|
Santa Cruz |
12 |
15 |
|
17 |
|
Central Valley |
|
|
|
|
|
Fresno |
47 |
49 |
|
47 |
|
Kern |
53 |
56 |
|
54 |
|
Kings |
50 |
52 |
|
52 |
|
Madera |
52 |
50 |
|
44 |
|
Merced |
42 |
43 |
|
48 |
|
Placer |
41 |
44 |
|
43 |
|
Sacramento |
41 |
44 |
|
45 |
|
San Benito |
30 |
32 |
|
33 |
|
San Joaquin |
38 |
40 |
|
43 |
|
Stanislaus |
45 |
48 |
|
47 |
|
Tulare |
48 |
50 |
|
52 |
|
Other Calif. Counties |
|
|
|
|
|
Amador |
44 |
45 |
|
42 |
|
Butte |
38 |
41 |
|
39 |
|
Calaveras |
43 |
46 |
|
49 |
|
El Dorado |
38 |
42 |
|
40 |
|
Humboldt |
33 |
36 |
|
36 |
|
Lake County |
37 |
40 |
|
38 |
|
Lassen |
64 |
68 |
|
64 |
|
Mariposa |
39 |
44 |
|
50 |
r |
Mendocino |
22 |
25 |
|
27 |
|
Mono |
14 |
8 |
|
25 |
|
Nevada |
32 |
37 |
|
39 |
|
Plumas |
42 |
47 |
|
47 |
|
Shasta |
46 |
49 |
|
47 |
|
Siskiyou |
48 |
48 |
|
47 |
|
Sutter |
45 |
49 |
|
53 |
|
Tehama |
51 |
51 |
|
57 |
|
Tuolumne |
43 |
49 |
|
46 |
|
Yolo |
33 |
41 |
|
35 |
|
Yuba |
45 |
49 |
|
43 |
|
r = revised