Welcome to the Market Matters Advisory, your weekly guide to
responding to the market.
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May 8, 2008
Bloomberg.com
U.S.home slump puts owners
'under water,' Zillow says
Home values dropped 7.7 percent nationally in the first quarter and
five California metropolitan areas were among the markets whose prices
plunged by the highest percentage year over year and whose homeowners had
high rates of negative equity, according to a report issued Tuesday by
Zillow. Nationally, a little more than half of homeowners who
purchased during the 2006 market peak today owe more on their home than its
current value.
-
· 130 of 160 metro markets included in the survey now are
priced lower than a year ago. Among the California markets
suffering the greatest decline: Stockton (-33.5 percent),
Riverside/San Bernardino/Ontario (-26 percent), Greater Sacramento
(-20.5 percent) and Los Angeles/Long Beach/Orange County (-16.4
percent).
-
· Despite the year-over-year decline, the nation
as a whole and the four California markets cited as having the
greatest decline experienced gains when home prices are annualized
over five years. Home prices experienced a net gain of 4.7
percent nationally over five years, 6.2 percent in Los Angeles/Long
Beach/Orange County, 5.8 percent in Riverside/San
Bernardino/Ontario, 1.5 percent in Greater Sacramento, and 0.3
percent in Stockton.
-
· Zillow calculated that 95.8 percent of
Stockton-area homeowners who purchased in 2006 now owe more than
their home is worth: In Riverside/San Bernardino/Ontario the
number stands at 88.5 percent; in Los Angeles/Long Beach/Orange
County the number is 71.6 percent; and 69.4 percent in
Sacramento.
-
· Owing more than a home is worth may not be a
problem for homeowners who can afford the monthly payment or who
plan to stay in the home for an extended period. Those most
affected are people who have lost a job or obtained a mortgage they
couldn't afford, those seeking to refinance into a lower or fixed
interest rate, or those whose circumstances require them to sell
now.
To read the full story, please click here:
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601103&sid=a5fN1s4jvUmE&refer=us
For a Silicon Valley perspective, please click here:
http://www.mercurynews.com/ci_9167620?source=most_emailed
MarketWatch
Banks squeezing credit to consumers,
businesses
Despite efforts to maintain the availability of credit to consumers
and businesses in the wake of the subprime credit crisis, more than half of
banks surveyed by the Federal Reserve said they have tightened lending
policies during the past three months on a wide range of consumer and
commercial loans, including residential mortgages.
MAKING SENSE OF THE STORY FOR CONSUMERS
-
· Consumers have been most affected by stricter
credit guidelines. A record 62 percent of banks reported tighter
standards for prime mortgages and 72 percent said they tightened
subprime requirements. However, the number of lenders offering
subprime loans declined to only 17 percent from about 30 percent two
years ago.
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· The majority of lenders tightened standards due to
worries about risk, illiquid markets and their own deteriorating
capital position. Most said they were increasing spreads on
interest rates, requiring more documentation, increasing collateral
requirements, or requiring co-signers and/or covenants before approval
a loan.
To read the full story, please click here:
http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/banks-squeezing-credit-consumers-businesses/story.aspx?guid=%7BB449EDEF%2D0D14%2D48BF%2DAE62%2D1FB693529F31%7D&dist=msr_2
The Associated Press
Fannie Mae loses $2.2B in 1Q, warns of severe
weakness
The nation's largest government-sponsored mortgage lender, Fannie
Mae, reported a loss of $2.2 billion for the first quarter Tuesday and
announced plans to raise $6 billion in capital to fund the purchase of
mortgage loans the company rebundles for sale as securities. The
company announced it set aside $3.2 billion to cover bad loans, will cut
its dividend from 35 cents a share to 25 cents, and expects "severe
weakness" in the mortgage market through the rest of the year.
MAKING SENSE OF THE STORY FOR CONSUMERS
-
· Seventy-five percent of mortgage-backed securities are issued
by Fannie Mae and the smaller Freddie Mac. The federal government
has positioned the two companies as key players in the effort to
restore liquidity and stability to the nation's real estate finance
system. However, some analysts worry that taking on additional debt
could be damaging down the line if the real estate downturn continues
or worsens. There also are concerns that Moody's Investor Service
may lower Fannie Mae's credit rating based on its diminishing capital
position.
-
· Fannie Mae's regulators have taken steps to help
free up additional sources of cash by reducing the mandatory reserves
the company must maintain. The Office of Federal Housing
Enterprise Oversight has said it will again reduce this surplus
requirement by five points to 15 percent. That will be followed by
another five-point cut in September if Fannie Mae's position does not
worsen.
To read the full story, please click here:
http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5iVAF4FNNGCiKCJfNJMp-FCePBQxAD90G5PA00
Bloomberg
TV
Feder of Radar Logic sees "bright spots" in
housing
Michael Feder, CEO of Radar Logic, Inc., and Rod Dubitzsky of Credit
Suisse Group talk with Bloomberg's Kathleen Hays about their outlook for
home foreclosures, housing prices and sales, and Federal Reserve monetary
policy.
To view the full video, click here:
http://www.bloomberg.com/avp/avp.htm?clipSRC=mms://media2.bloomberg.com/cache/vty46VzRAM.c.asf
In Other News...
The New York Times
Doubts raised on big backers of mortgages
To read the full story, please click here:
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/05/06/business/06fannie.html?th&emc=th
Parade
Magazine
What your home is worth
To read the full story, please click here:
http://www.parade.com/articles/editions/2008/edition_05-04-2008/1What_Your_Home_Is_Worth
Chicago Tribune
REALTORS® try house parties to push sales
To read the full story, please click here:
http://www.chicagotribune.com/business/chi-re-parties-sales-0504may04,0,4817652.story
Los Angeles
Times
House sitting -- on a grand scale
Forget staging--the latest weapon in the savvy seller's arsenal
is the home manager
To read the full story, please click here:
http://www.latimes.com/classified/realestate/news/la-re-sitters4-2008may04,0,2116928.story
San Luis Obispo
Telegram-Tribune
Lure of a deal startstobringbuyersback
To read the full story, please click here:
http://www.sanluisobispo.com/news/local/story/350569.html
Here's what to tell consumers
-
· The number of U.S. businesses and individuals
filing for bankruptcy is rising, in part because of tighter lending
standards that make it more difficult for small businesses and
individuals to stay afloat. In April, 5,173 businesses filed for
bankruptcy, a 49 percent increase from a year ago, reports Jupiter
eSources LLC. Total bankruptcy filings, which include both
businesses and individuals, rose 31 percent to 93,096 from the same
period a year ago. Jupiter said it expects total 2008 filings to
hit 1.1 million nationally, up from 827,00 in 2007 and 590,000 in
2006.
-
· Last week's action by the Federal Reserve to cut
its key interest rate fell on deaf ears as 30-year mortgage rates hit a
seven-week high, according to Freddie Mac. The reason? Fears of
inflation. A 30-year fixed rate mortgage averaged 6.06 percent last
week, up from 6.03 percent the prior week, the highest level since they
reached 6.13 percent in mid-March. Fifteen-year fixed rate
mortgages fell slightly to 5.59 percent, down from 5.62 percent. The
good news for buyers is that rates are still better than a year ago,
when a 30-year fixed mortgage averaged 6.13 percent and a 15-year fixed
went for 5.87 percent.
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MarketMatters@car.org
.
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