Foreclosures, the Supply of Homes, and
Prices
The median
price in California continued to increase in September, driven by lean
inventory levels, while home sales remained on track with expectations
for the month. The median price of a detached existing single family
home was $296,090 in September, up 1.1 percent from the August median of
$292,960, but down 7.3 percent from the September 2008 median price of
$319,310. Barring a sudden decline in home values over the next few
months, the statewide median price will register year-over-year gains by
year end, although it will still be well below the mid-decade
peak..
2009 Survey of California Home Buyers -
Highlights
After back-to-back years of sharp declines in
sales, the California housing market bounced back in 2008 with a 27 percent
increase in sales. The increase was due in large part to the growth in the
absorption of distressed properties, which comprised over half of the
sales. With deeply discounted distressed sales flooding the market, prices
have dropped significantly since early 2008. The accumulation of
foreclosures, REOs, and short sales will continue to put downward pressure
on home prices, until mortgage problems begin to subside in the second half
of
2009.
2008-2009 State of the California Housing Market Report -
Highlights
This year’s State of
the California Housing Market report examines the developments in the
housing market and real estate finance over the past year, places
recent events into a historical context, and looks ahead to 2009. The
annual report also provides detailed statistics on consumer
demographics, data on home buying and selling behaviors, analyses on
current housing market conditions, and insights on the direction of
the market.
2009 Rent
Versus Buy Analysis
Given
recent changes in home prices and the current low mortgage rate climate,
there have been significant gains in affordability for prospective
first-time homeowners. Earlier in 2009, a provision in the Stimulus Bill
provided for a first-time Homebuyer Tax Credit of 10 percent of the
purchase price of the home up to $8,000. The CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF
REALTORS® analyzed the difference between renting and buying a home in
light of recent market and policy developments. Housing costs and tax
implications of buying a home and renting a home were computed as a part
of the analysis.
